SOVEREIGN RESEARCHBY PAVEL SOVEREIGN

SOVEREIGN RESEARCH / DELIVERED COMPUTE

Companies

NVDA

NVIDIA

GPU / ASIC

Strong accelerator sales and deployed systems support the supplier thesis. Durability requires qualified supply, continued customer deployment and retained cash; buyer investment returns are a separate test.

VRT

Vertiv

Rack power / cooling

Thermal and power infrastructure benefits from complex deployments; current supplier cash conversion provides stronger evidence than product qualification alone. Project timing and acquisition integration remain risks.

CEG

Constellation Energy

Power generation

Existing dependable generation and long-term offtake provide exposure to power scarcity. Future uprates improve potential supply, but timing and contract economics determine value capture.

VST

Vistra

Power generation

Generation and long-term contract opportunities provide power exposure, while extensive hedging delays merchant repricing. Potential federal credit is optionality until legally approved terms and disbursement are evidenced.

ANET

Arista Networks

Networking

Networking growth supports the useful-work thesis, but Arista must retain customer time value through competitive performance and margins. Consolidated revenue and guidance do not isolate AI-only economics.